Portrait of Prof. Dr. Axel Dreher
Economist · Political Economy & Development

Prof. Dr. Axel Dreher

Professor of International and Development Politics

Alfred-Weber-Institute for Economics, Heidelberg University · Director, Center for European Studies (CefES)

37,000+ citations h-index 87 Member, Leopoldina Top 500 economists worldwide (RePEc)

About

Understanding the politics behind global development

Axel Dreher studies why international institutions, foreign aid, and great-power competition shape the economic fortunes of developing countries — and why those effects so often diverge from official intentions. His work sits at the intersection of political economy, development economics, and international relations, combining rigorous empirical methods with datasets he has helped build from the ground up. He created the widely used KOF Globalization Index and co-developed the geocoded aid datasets underpinning much of the modern empirical literature on foreign assistance, including collaborations with AidData. His research asks pointed questions: Does foreign aid buy political influence? Does IMF conditionality work? How is China reshaping development finance — and with what consequences for recipient countries and the institutions built after Bretton Woods? Before Heidelberg, he held positions at ETH Zurich, the University of Göttingen, Konstanz, Mannheim, and Exeter, alongside visiting appointments across three continents. He is a Faculty Associate of AidData, Director of CefES, and a Fellow of CEPR, CESifo, KOF, and EUDN.

Research

Widely cited, widely applied

Dreher’s research doesn’t stay in the journals — his globalization index and aid datasets are standard tools used by economists, political scientists, and international organizations worldwide.

37,457
Citations (Google Scholar)
87
h-index
126
i10-index
Top 500
Economists worldwide, IDEAS/RePEc

Signature contributions

  • Creator of the KOF Globalization Index, the benchmark measure used across economics and political science to study globalization’s effects on growth, inequality, and policy.
  • Widely cited empirical work on foreign aid effectiveness, donor motives, and the political economy of aid allocation.
  • Leading research on China’s overseas development finance — its scale, aims, and geopolitical impact — built on geocoded project-level data.
  • Influential studies on IMF and World Bank governance, conditionality, and how voting power at the UN correlates with aid flows.
  • Founding Editor of the Review of International Organizations and co-organizer of the Political Economy of International Organizations (PEIO) conference series.

Recognition

  • Member, Leopoldina — German National Academy of Sciences
  • Germany’s #1 ranked Political Scientist — research.com
  • #2 in Economics & Finance, Germany — research.com
  • Top-300 economist — ScholarGPS
  • Fellow, CEPR
  • Fellow, CESifo
  • Fellow, KOF
  • Fellow, EUDN
  • Faculty Associate, AidData

Media

A go-to voice on aid, China, and global institutions

Journalists and policymakers turn to Dreher when the story requires more than opinion — when it needs data. He translates dense empirical research into clear, evidence-based commentary for outlets and institutions around the world.

Financial TimesThe EconomistWashington Post Wall Street JournalFrankfurter Allgemeine ZeitungDie Zeit Der SpiegelBBCReutersThe Guardian China DailyVoxEU
Regularly consulted on foreign aid effectiveness, IMF governance, and China’s expanding role in global development finance — with commentary informing coverage in leading business, policy, and general-interest press worldwide.

Press & broadcast

Print and online features across the FT, The Economist, Washington Post, WSJ, FAZ, Die Zeit, Der Spiegel, BBC, Reuters, and The Guardian, plus broadcast appearances on ARD, ZDF, and international outlets covering development policy and geopolitics.

Core commentary topics

  • Foreign aid effectiveness
  • China’s global development finance
  • IMF & World Bank governance
  • Globalization & growth
  • Immigration & political polarization
  • European competitiveness

Keynotes

Speaking on the economics of power and development

Dreher delivers keynotes and invited talks at academic conferences, policy forums, and corporate strategy meetings — turning frontier research into insight audiences can act on.

Featured: The Future of European Competitiveness

Delivered as the kickoff talk at the Kolb Distribution AG Strategy Meeting (Heidelberg, 2025), this keynote draws on Dreher’s research in trade, institutions, and political economy to lay out what is actually holding European firms and economies back — and what a credible competitiveness agenda requires. A talk built for boards, policymakers, and strategy audiences who need substance, not slogans.

  • 01
    The Political Economy of Aid Allocation and Effectiveness
    International Conference on Economics of International Interactions — Bari, Italy, 2025
  • 02
    Wedded to Prosperity? Informal Influence and Regional Favoritism
    Democracy and Development in the Global South — University of Zurich, 2024
  • 03
    Banking on Beijing: The Aims and Impacts of China’s Overseas Development Program (keynote)
    17th Workshop on Political Economy — Dresden, Germany, November 24–25, 2023
  • 04
    Immigration, Political Ideologies, and the Polarization of American Politics
    Hosting Refugees: National Policies and Local Communities — University of Milano-Bicocca, Italy, 2022

Popular keynote themes

  • The future of European competitiveness
  • Immigration and political polarization
  • Does foreign aid work?
  • China’s rise as a development lender
  • Globalization, backlash, and growth
  • Reforming the IMF and World Bank
  • Measuring what matters: building better development data

Contact

Get in touch

For speaking engagements, media inquiries, or research collaboration.

Alfred-Weber-Institute for Economics, Heidelberg University Bergheimer Straße 58, 69115 Heidelberg, Germany +49 6221 54-2921